Nate Silver: How does race affect votes?

Nate Silver: How does race affect votes?


I want to talk about the election. For the first time in the United States, a predominantly white group of voters voted for an African-American candidate for President. And in fact Barack Obama did quite well. He won 375 electoral votes. And he won about 70 million popular votes more than any other presidential candidate — of any race, of any party — in history. If you compare how Obama did against how John Kerry had done four years earlier — Democrats really like seeing this transition here, where almost every state becomes bluer, becomes more democratic — even states Obama lost, like out west, those states became more blue. In the south, in the northeast, almost everywhere but with a couple of exceptions here and there. One exception is in Massachusetts. That was John Kerry’s home state. No big surprise, Obama couldn’t do better than Kerry there. Or in Arizona, which is John McCain’s home, Obama didn’t have much improvement. But there is also this part of the country, kind of in the middle region here. This kind of Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, West Virginia region. Now if you look at ’96, Bill Clinton — the last Democrat to actually win — how he did in ’96, you see real big differences in this part of the country right here, the kind of Appalachians, Ozarks, highlands region, as I call it: 20 or 30 point swings from how Bill Clinton did in ’96 to how Obama did in 2008. Yes Bill Clinton was from Arkansas, but these are very, very profound differences. So, when we think about parts of the country like Arkansas, you know. There is a book written called, “What’s the Matter with Kansas?” But really the question here — Obama did relatively well in Kansas. He lost badly but every Democrat does. He lost no worse than most people do. But yeah, what’s the matter with Arkansas? (Laughter) And when we think of Arkansas we tend to have pretty negative connotations. We think of a bunch of rednecks, quote, unquote, with guns. And we think people like this probably don’t want to vote for people who look like this and are named Barack Obama. We think it’s a matter of race. And is this fair? Are we kind of stigmatizing people from Arkansas, and this part of the country? And the answer is: it is at least partially fair. We know that race was a factor, and the reason why we know that is because we asked those people. Actually we didn’t ask them, but when they conducted exit polls in every state, in 37 states, out of the 50, they asked a question, that was pretty direct, about race. They asked this question. In deciding your vote for President today, was the race of the candidate a factor? We’re looking for people that said, “Yes, race was a factor; moreover it was an important factor, in my decision,” and people who voted for John McCain as a result of that factor, maybe in combination with other factors, and maybe alone. We’re looking for this behavior among white voters or, really, non-black voters. So you see big differences in different parts of the country on this question. In Louisiana, about one in five white voters said, “Yes, one of the big reasons why I voted against Barack Obama is because he was an African-American.” If those people had voted for Obama, even half of them, Obama would have won Louisiana safely. Same is true with, I think, all of these states you see on the top of the list. Meanwhile, California, New York, we can say, “Oh we’re enlightened” but you know, certainly a much lower incidence of this admitted, I suppose, manifestation of racially-based voting. Here is the same data on a map. You kind of see the relationship between the redder states of where more people responded and said, “Yes, Barack Obama’s race was a problem for me.” You see, comparing the map to ’96, you see an overlap here. This really seems to explain why Barack Obama did worse in this one part of the country. So we have to ask why. Is racism predictable in some way? Is there something driving this? Is it just about some weird stuff that goes on in Arkansas that we don’t understand, and Kentucky? Or are there more systematic factors at work? And so we can look at a bunch of different variables. These are things that economists and political scientists look at all the time — things like income, and religion, education. Which of these seem to drive this manifestation of racism in this big national experiment we had on November 4th? And there are a couple of these that have strong predictive relationships, one of which is education, where you see the states with the fewest years of schooling per adult are in red, and you see this part of the country, the kind of Appalachians region, is less educated. It’s just a fact. And you see the relationship there with the racially-based voting patterns. The other variable that’s important is the type of neighborhood that you live in. States that are more rural — even to some extent of the states like New Hampshire and Maine — they exhibit a little bit of this racially-based voting against Barack Obama. So it’s the combination of these two things: it’s education and the type of neighbors that you have, which we’ll talk about more in a moment. And the thing about states like Arkansas and Tennessee is that they’re both very rural, and they are educationally impoverished. So yes, racism is predictable. These things, among maybe other variables, but these things seem to predict it. We’re going to drill down a little bit more now, into something called the General Social Survey. This is conducted by the University of Chicago every other year. And they ask a series of really interesting questions. In 2000 they had particularly interesting questions about racial attitudes. One simple question they asked is, “Does anyone of the opposite race live in your neighborhood?” We can see in different types of communities that the results are quite different. In cites, about 80 percent of people have someone whom they consider a neighbor of another race, but in rural communities, only about 30 percent. Probably because if you live on a farm, you might not have a lot of neighbors, period. But nevertheless, you’re not having a lot of interaction with people who are unlike you. So what we’re going to do now is take the white people in the survey and split them between those who have black neighbors — or, really, some neighbor of another race — and people who have only white neighbors. And we see in some variables in terms of political attitudes, not a lot of difference. This was eight years ago, some people were more Republican back then. But you see Democrats versus Republican, not a big difference based on who your neighbors are. And even some questions about race — for example affirmative action, which is kind of a political question, a policy question about race, if you will — not much difference here. Affirmative action is not very popular frankly, with white voters, period. But people with black neighbors and people with mono-racial neighborhoods feel no differently about it really. But if you probe a bit deeper and get a bit more personal if you will, “Do you favor a law banning interracial marriage?” There is a big difference. People who don’t have neighbors of a different race are about twice as likely to oppose interracial marriage as people who do. Just based on who lives in your immediate neighborhood around you. And likewise they asked, not in 2000, but in the same survey in 1996, “Would you not vote for a qualified black president?” You see people without neighbors who are African-American who were much more likely to say, “That would give me a problem.” So it’s really not even about urban versus rural. It’s about who you live with. Racism is predictable. And it’s predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races. So if you want to address it, the goal is to facilitate interaction with people of other races. I have a couple of very obvious, I suppose, ideas for maybe how to do that. I’m a big fan of cities. Especially if we have cites that are diverse and sustainable, and can support people of different ethnicities and different income groups. I think cities facilitate more of the kind of networking, the kind of casual interaction than you might have on a daily basis. But also not everyone wants to live in a city, certainly not a city like New York. So we can think more about things like street grids. This is the neighborhood where I grew up in East Lansing, Michigan. It’s a traditional Midwestern community, which means you have real grid. You have real neighborhoods and real trees, and real streets you can walk on. And you interact a lot with your neighbors — people you like, people you might not know. And as a result it’s a very tolerant community, which is different, I think, than something like this, which is in Schaumburg, Illinois, where every little set of houses has their own cul-de-sac and drive-through Starbucks and stuff like that. I think that actually this type of urban design, which became more prevalent in the 1970s and 1980s — I think there is a relationship between that and the country becoming more conservative under Ronald Reagan. But also here is another idea we have — is an intercollegiate exchange program where you have students going from New York abroad. But frankly there are enough differences within the country now where maybe you can take a bunch of kids from NYU, have them go study for a semester at the University of Arkansas, and vice versa. Do it at the high school level. Literally there are people who might be in school in Arkansas or Tennessee and might never interact in a positive affirmative way with someone from another part of the country, or of another racial group. I think part of the education variable we talked about before is the networking experience you get when you go to college where you do get a mix of people that you might not interact with otherwise. But the point is, this is all good news, because when something is predictable, it is what I call designable. You can start thinking about solutions to solving that problem, even if the problem is pernicious and as intractable as racism. If we understand the root causes of the behavior and where it manifests itself and where it doesn’t, we can start to design solutions to it. So that’s all I have to say. Thank you very much. (Applause)

100 Comments

  1. A subspecie must have a larger than 5% difference in DNA in comparison with another subspecie.That doesn't happen in Humans.

  2. "Human races" was considered a non-valid theory many years ago.This is just out-dated!Never thought I'd see this in TED.

  3. I call complete bullshit.

    Where's the discussion of "race" for those who voted for Obama?

    This speaker should have cut the speculative components and discussed the broader picture of the exit poll results.

    The speaker presented several blatant stereotypes of his own.

    note: I voted for Obama.

  4. Err..the definition in biology of subspecies implies a greater than 5% difference in genetic material. Humans are always between 3% and 5%.

    I never describe myself as part of a race. don't know if it's a cultural thing or not, but here in Portugal it's offensive to say someone is of a given race.

    I agree that people with friends family or neighbours of other cultural backgrounds can be more open minded, but is it all about the neighbours? I never had coloured neighbours, and I'm no racist.

  5. pt . wikipedia . org / wiki/ Ra%C3%A7a
    Here is a mention of the 5% difference in dna. It's in Portuguese so I don't know if you can read it 🙁
    I'm sure you can find it in english using google 😉

  6. I understand correlation perfectly. However, you don't.

    "Probably" in your statement is purely opinional. I think what you meant to say was "violent" rather than "racist". There would be many blacks that are very racist, yet civilised due to education, so withhold their racist tendancies.

    There are far too many variables and assumptions for this presenter's work to even be considered scientific evidence.

    He's honestly trying to come to a conclusion on racism from voting statistics?

  7. Reply to mazdaplz, Boy do you get aggressive when someone disagrees with you!. Einstein is by far the best thinker of all time. You need to get your facts rite and manage your aggression. The nazis were the biggest killers of whites, and didn't think scientifically and are no friends of mine. Try some yoga and cut down on the amount of fighting you do.

  8. Silver seems to forget/ignore/not address an obvious point any statistician/economist should notice. People can and do self-select into neighborhoods based on their level of racism.

    Consider the following hypothesis:
    Integrated neighborhoods aren't more tolerant because people interact with other races, they are more tolerant because only tolerant people will choose to live there. If you are racist you will prefer to remain in Arkansas.

    Forced integration may do nothing to prevent racism.

  9. You Idiot, iv'e never come across a more agressive non thinking person on youtube,why the hell would i be unsettled? are you pregidous against whites?. You can reply as much and when ever you want.

  10. Andres Duany of the New Urbanism movement has been talking since the 70s-80s about how this suburban sprawl affects our social lives. It is amazing though not surprising that this also may have political extensions

  11. we are all African. every one of us. it's in our DNA.

    i don't mean this in a suburbian bright-eyed academic idealist way. or a hippie 'free love' way either.

    i mean it in blood-spilled-in-the-dirt sense.

    violence is the only heritage of our consistent forgetting of this basic unity.

  12. this insistent concern with racial inequality, makes me utterly embarrassed to live in this nation.

    violence is a human problem. we're all isolated in many ways, some more than others. violence is not exclusive to any race of people.

    when we go nitpicking specific types of violence only to portray a racial bias, then we're just being racist. enough said.

  13. how about objective study? is it because they're black? is it because of sociological issues / feeling segregated? what is the cause of it?

    conversely, one could point out something like "well, white people invented the atomic bomb." that's far more harrowing, in any case.

  14. there is a variable that can contradict that statement; more blacks live in cities, compared to whites, and because of that, more blacks interact with other races in some way, when compared to whites as a whole. With that said, there is a greater chance of a black person accepting other races over a white person, because of the fact that they interact with a greater diversity of races.. but again

  15. you forget that this was the first true black competitor, so that fact was a given; remember Rev Al Sharpton did run for president once, and he never even made it past the primaries. If a Jewish candidate popped up who had all the same qualities as Obama, I guarantee 95% of the Jewish vote would have voted for that candidate, on the fact that the majority of the our past presidents and candidates were Christian or Catholic…

  16. You need to think about what you just wrote a little bit. You can't assume that those 'liberals' who voted for Obama, voted for him just because he's black, maybe they voted for him for the fact that it was going to be a monumental moment for this country, and trust me, it would have been the same if Hillary Clinton was the Dem candidate. Liberals are romanticists…

  17. Actually, there have been objective studies which concluded that, controlling for race and all other factors, it is single-motherhood that is the strongest link to criminality. Unfortunately, American welfare policy has been devoted to promoting single-motherhood, especially among the minority communities.

  18. Wow! This is so uplifting. It's great to think that there are active steps that can be taken to decrease the likelihood of racism in future generations.

  19. it doesn't negate the fact, every single american present came out of a white woman's womb.Barack is white as well.and the entire electorate is/was aware of it.

  20. what about the people that voted for obama just becase hes black? i know of a few people sadly. either way race should not matter when voting.

  21. 99% of blacks voted black based on race with little regard to issues…
    Many whites and hispanics voted for both Black and white many based on partisan issues and a few on race…but racial voting came predominately from blacks this is a fact…despite the history of the republican party freeing the slaves and the historical connection between the KKK and the southern democrats…It seems today that government dependance is the new slavery and ironically its racially motivated by the left wing!

  22. its a shame people voted on race….its like they never heard dr king…..he said "i have a dream where one day little black kids will not be judged by the colour or their skin but by the content of their character"…..

  23. You would have to look at who the black vote went to in the past. If it has recently been strongly democratic then how can you say that Obama votes were a race issue?

    Quick search, 90% of the black vote went to Gore. So 9 of 10 who voted Republican changed by 2008 but how many changed in the population at large? Well the change in spread was about 7%.

    So, in the black vote an extra 5.5 in 100 swapped sides compared to the whole population. Significant but not as much as you'd like to think.

  24. its voting on shallow issues, i mean i know loads of girls who think Obama is very attractive, is that better or worse than voting on race

  25. this is so one-sided.

    what about reverse-discrimination? What about the black people that didnt vote for mccain, and voted for obama merely because he's black?

    less than 5% of black people actually knew what Obama's campaign was all about and how he was actually going to change this country…no, only because he's black.

    this country is so shitty because of the stupid people that live in it

  26. actually, I would argue that they would vote for Steele…

    and of course there's a whole other issue of Hillary being the first woman president, so in sense it would be women vs blacks.

    how many democrats have been in the final running for presidency? please tell me

  27. What the hell is wrong with you? "the Jewish Problem" and he has no hatred to caucasians, if anyone has a mental illness and is promoting genocide it's you. He's just stating facts and statistics.

  28. this man is saying that white people with no exposure to blacks will vote white
    my argument is that he did not tell the other side of the story… just like with white people,

    black people would vote for a black candidate just because he's black, and in this case even MORE LIKELY because Obama was going to be the FIRST black president, and it's this sudden uproar that forces black people and other minorities to vote for Barrack, without any knowledge of government whatsoever.

  29. "how many democrats have been in the final running for presidency? please tell me "

    you never answered this question…mostly likely because you're afraid of losing this debate

  30. Is he bringing anything new to the table? more than making whites the center of this topic? Every race that doesn't interact with other races is more likely not to vote for them or accept intermarriage.

  31. Why the hell did TED let this muppet on? I feel insulted by this video. As an Irish man living in his native land I am sick of this anti white (all whites are racists) bullplop. He should have shown both sides of the divide instead of just showing the white side. This kind of crap effects us all. The mentality that only white people are self serving is ridiculous. We are all self serving! They should take this down. This kind of half arsed talk is racist in itself.

  32. Republicans – Democrats all the same sh!t , race aint got nothing to do with it,
    the more things change the more they stay the same, so the average Joe keep working ,not asking questions,and the goverment keep doing what they want

    This guy is just some Harvord push up that comments on past facts

  33. What only whites can be racist? I wonder were there any black voters for whom race was an issue?
    Because of this limited focus I find this 'study' useless. Of course race is a factor but only for white voters?
    Take off your blinders, Nate. Your bias is showing.

  34. How come he didn't show how black people voted for Obama because he was black? Why so one sided? Why are whites portrayed as racist? I love how he wanted to show us how tolerant his neighborhood was BTW, hysterical.

  35. Are you trying to say California, the largest state in terms of electorates, is not diverse? What are you talking about. Use some actual facts.

  36. Why would race affect whites more than any other color? Is it genetic? Plus I will take you up on a modified bet. As stated it's meaningless. I would bet a greater percentage of blacks voted for Obama becasue he was black than whites voted for McCain cause he's white.

  37. Well I think there is a possibility they voted for him because he taught constitutional law. A document which is the backbone of our country, which has been in a state of erosion for years. Or maybe, because he not only graduated Harvard, he also was editor of the world-renowned harvard law review. Or maybe it was because the other candidate graduated 5th from the bottom of his class at his academy.

  38. And although you are talking about "liberal" whites voting from him, you might want to take a look at the overwhelming amount of former republican voters who voter for Obama. But, of course that would require ACTUAL research and having an opnion of your own.

  39. Contrary to Nate's assertions, the evidence shows that people who were influenced by Obama's race were more influenced to vote FOR him, not AGAINST him.

  40. Since you're not acknowledging my argument, you have no basis on which to dismiss it. My point is entirely valid and backed up by the evidence. If you'd bother to do the slightest amount of research, you would discover that the same exit polls on which Nate relies show that more people voted for Obama because of his race than voted for McCain because of his race.

  41. I pointed out the truth that white people are not inherently more racist than black people, and that it is racist to suggest that only white people can be racist. That is, in fact, a different argument because I was responding to a different argument, that argument being that only white people can be racist. That does not preclude the truth of the argument I've also made that more people voted for Obama because of his race than votes against him because of his race. Both are true.

  42. Are you seriously suggesting that no black people voted for Obama just because he's black? Is that really the argument you want to try to make? I'm pretty sure the burden of proof is on your end for that extraordinary claim. Though the CNN polls I consulted didn't disclose that particular fact for some reason (I wonder why), I'm pretty comfortable resting on the assertion that racism is not purely a white thing.

  43. Boston Review reported "Most of the additional Democratic votes were cast by black and Hispanic voters—4.3 million and 2.7 million more, respectively. Democrats also gained among white voters, but the increase was a modest 3 million votes. Most of [McCain's] loss came from the net defection of blacks and Hispanics who voted Republican four years earlier. The percentage of blacks voting for the Democratic presidential candidate rose from 88 percent in 2004 to 95 percent in 2008." (Amazing Race)

  44. You'll have to explain to me how "prove that blacks voted against McCain because he was white" does not suggest that no blacks voted for Obama because he is black.

  45. The Economist reports (The big remaining question, May 8th, 2008) "In Indiana this week, 29% of blacks told exit pollsters that the candidate's race was important to them."

  46. Finally, the coup de grace, Gallup reported that "Whites are even less likely than blacks to say Obama's race would be a factor in their vote. " (Most say race will not be a factor in their presidential vote, June 9, 2008)

  47. Obviously you are not familiar with how elections are conducted. You see, in America, people are only allowed to vote for a candidate. People actually aren't allowed to vote against a candidate. Hopefully that will clear up some of your confusion.

  48. Here's a clue: why don't you look it up yourself? I'm not your research assistant. I've fully supported my assertions. I think it's your turn.

  49. And, yes, the CNN exit polls I referenced earlier clearly showed that more people voted for Obama because he was black than voted for McCain because he was white.

  50. Then of what claim are you skeptical? Are you skeptical of the CNN exit polls that show that Obama received more votes because of his race than he lost? I suggest you do your homework and look up the CNN polls yourself.

  51. You know what? I don't disagree that, all other things being equal, why not vote for a something different just to show that it can be done. It might be a feel-good way to show how wonderfully open-minded I am. But the exit polls I just sent you show that among those for whom race was THE most important factor, Obama won. If we're going to discuss racism, as Nate purports to want to, shouldn't we start with the most prominent example of racism, instead of "Let's guilt more votes for Obama"?

  52. I just wish everybody voted on policy. I'd love to have more detailed polls too. I want to get facts out so that people can look at them and reach true conclusions about the world. The more we know, the better decisions we can make. Might I suggest a subscription to reasontv?

  53. It was a good conversation. I'm right, of course, that Nate Silver distorted the data for partisan posturing to try to guilt people into voting for Obama. He's a liar and a bigot, and TED should respond appropriately to a presentation that clearly is an attempt to twist evidence into fitting a political agenda instead of their stated goal of sharing "the best ideas from the TED Conference with the world." Nate Silver is a disgrace to TED's good reputation, and I've proven it.

  54. I wonder did race have anything to do with half the black vote won by George W Bush desserting John McCain.

  55. I'm not sure I understand your position. I'm white and nothing he said gave me the feeling that I've been marginalized. You actually think it's unhealthy for exposure to diversity? I don't think he's trying to devise a system to make SURE that white people can never live with other whites. I think he's suggesting that we should build environments that PROMOTE interaction with others. Something tells me you have a fear of this more than a rational reason to oppose this.

  56. What would not having "whites" living together accomplish? I fail to see any logical reason to have a conspiracy to achieve this?

  57. No…He's not essentially saying that Jews and Liberals should determine where white people should live. You need to watch the video again.

    He's saying that neighborhoods should be designed in such a way that is conducive for more interaction with other people around them and not just 3-5 households in your culdesac. I think you need to stop fearing diversity. Besides, this isn't the 1920's. We White people have the internet if we wan't to "congregate" lmao.

  58. Dude, shut up, talking like that is how horrible things with the Nazis started. If you think there's conspiracy against you it's just so you can find an excuse for your being a failure.

  59. Since 1964 80% of black people have voted for Democratic candidate for president, in 2008 94% of blacks voted for Obama, that's 14% switch. 15% of whites surveyed said race had something to do with there decision. In 2007 Hillary Clinton was the leading candidate among blacks. So if Hillary ran against McCain, Hillary wins among blacks, and if Black McCain vs. Obama= Obama wins. And if McCain vs. White Obama= Obama wins. So it comes down to party loyalty.

  60. they voted for clinton because of public assistance dependance and to a greater degree Obama because of both race and public assistance…there is no secret to this only in contemporary politics dependance is the new slavery as the democrats who control most inner cities have shown in 40+ yrs of liberal results and public programs…thats why the inner cities are what they are and why they all have democratic politicians in charge. Thats not my opinion just the truth!

  61. And rich people may choose to vote Republican because they think they will pay lower taxes and will be allowed to avoid them through loopholes or illegal means. They probably hate the dirty poor who carry disease which is why they live in ghetto suburbs in big houses with gates. The Republicans trap them into voting for them.

    People vote for the candidates who they believe will do more for them. Wow huge revelation. Is it so wrong for the less well off to want healthcare, better education…?

  62. Since everybody else in the comments section is making up statistics, I'll join in.

    120% of the black people in America voted for Obama, 99% of which did so based on race, while the remaining 80% liked his middle name. Meanwhile, 90% of women voted for McPalin, likely because she shot a moose.

  63. hahahahahah yeah because blacks are the majority group in the United States and also control most of the wealth in the world hahahahahahhahah

  64. @itsacomputer well the talk is on race affecting voting so no….but other than that, if this was a hour long talk then yeah I would but considering it is only 10 minute clip you kind of have to limit the topic range.

  65. Why didn't he talk about how 95% of black voters voted for Obama? Surely racism had something to do with that to. And no doubt, there were many whites who voted for him because of racial guilt. All in all, the elite have us where they want us. The average American is so ignorant when it comes to politics. They assume they're making a logical choice but when asked what they think they're candidate will bring, all they can remember are those hypnotic words "HOPE" and "CHANGE". RIP America.

  66. This is interesting. I think race was a factor, but look at 2004 and 2000. Tennessee/Kentucky/Louisiana/Oklahoma/WV all turned Republican with 2 white men. Race probably explains the "backwards" movement of these states from 2004 to 2008, but the rest is probably because Clinton was a southerner.

  67. With all the discussion of race people seem to have the importance of how communities are built. Neighborhoods that are designed to encourage interaction increase open mindedness in general. Neighborhoods that are designed with diversity in mind encourage acceptance of diversity. Placing blocks of whites, blacks, rich, and poor encourage tribalism and hate for "the Other".

  68. Only a small share of white voters (7%) said that race was important to their vote, and they voted overwhelmingly for McCain (66% to 33%). But their impact was overshadowed by the much larger proportion of whites who said race was not important (92%). Obama’s race was a factor in bringing African American voters to the polls. Blacks made up a larger share of the electorate in 2008 (13%) than they did in 2004 (11%) or 2000 (10%), and they supported Obama at higher rates than Kerry or Gore.

  69. Given the exit poll statistics shown everywhere and using Mr. Silver's hypothesis I guess we must concur that since whites are racist, blacks are super racist?

    Are you: Total Obama Romney
    White 72% 39% 59%
    Black 13% 93% 6%
    Latino 10% 71% 27%
    Asian 3% 73% 26%
    Other 2% 58% 38%

  70. Ok. I’m totally jealous of my nephew currently. He’s actually been available constantly. Having said that he mind-fucked a part-time model to tell him she is head over heels in love with him in less than a month. How is that even possible? He explained to me he obtained the Cupid Love System (Google it!) I wish someone attractive told me they loved me… I don’t recall ever before seeing him so happy. Kind of makes me frustrated.

  71. For some reason I can't reply to James Garfield directly, but is he seriously making a straw man that suggests a group of black voters who make up 2% of the electorate are more significant than 7% of white voters? Not to mention his flaw of looking at the popular vote instead of state results (which is how the election is determined). In some states we are talking of upwards of 20% of white McCain voters. Have to love what you're trying to do, though.

  72. This is all bunkem. If you want to know who will win the election you only need to ask 1 question… who is spending the most money?

    Without fail, the biggest campaign budget has always led to the winner.

  73. It's so weird watching this in 2019. He comes across as such an evil man knowing what we do about monolithic voting patterns in foreigner votes, propaganda, miscengenation encouragement only in white countries etc.

    The mere fact that he would only analyze a slight discrepancy in votes by whites (the most diverse voting demographic in the world) and completely ignore every other race that unanimously and exclusively votes for their own race's cadidates gives way to the lie that this is about "racism in voting". It's not. It's about "white racism in voting", though he conveneiently neglected to mention that.

    Not surprising he "loves cities". He''s a cliche rootless cosmopolitlan subversive elite, doing anything he can to deligitimise natives right to rule over themselves as they wish. He even goes on to be the most cliche Jew ever and recommend 'mixing' with other races in an effort to get to know them better. We tried, Nate, we found out all we needed to know. There are no more revelations to be gotten. Why do you think 'white flight' happens so often now?

    Here's hoping more people wake up to his lies and propaganda and his reputation in destroyed completely when he fucks up 2020 as badly as he did 2016.

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